Does Market Crash – in both Equity and Debt – Awaits us in 2019-2020?
What awaits the global markets in the year 2019-2020? To understand this, you need to understand the following:
- Significance of US Market
- 2008 Recession & its impact
- Back data
- Understanding “1929 – The Great Depression” & “2008 – Great Recession”.
What happened during Great Depression of 1929?
- 1929 – stock market hit lifetime high
- 1929 – Private Debt > 200% of GDP, Market crashed 50%
- 1931 – Interest Rates Hit Zero
- 1933 – Money Printing & capital injection
- 1933-1936 – Stock Market Rallied Again
- 1936-1937 – Central Bank Started Tightening interest rate-10% crash in stocks
- 1938 – Another 50% crash in stock market
- 1938 End – Market bottomed in 1938.
What happened during Great Recession of 2008?
- 2007 – stock market hit lifetime high
- 2007 – Private Debt > 200% of GDP
- 2008 – Interest Rates Hit Zero
- 2009-2010 – Money Printing & capital injection
- 2011-2018 – Stock Market Rallied Again
- 2018 – Central Bank Started Tightening interest rate-10% crash in stocks
- 2019-2020 – ???
What happened in 2008?
- Stock market crashed
- Bond/Commercial paper markets crashed
- Capital loss for debt fund investors
What is happening in 2018?
- NBFCs, Recent correction in Indian market & FIIs
- FDs, Savings & Money Market funds
- Liquid/Debt funds are dangerous as well
- Understand credit risk & quality
- Quantum Liquid Fund, FDs & RDs
We have explained about this in detail in the video:
Stay Alert & Be Prepared
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